Question NW2678 to the Minister of Basic Education
05 October 2017 - NW2678
Mashabela, Ms N to ask the Minister of Basic Education
What is the total number of learners who (a) registered for Grade 1, (b) completed Grade 9 and (c) completed Grade 12 in each province in the period 1 January 1996 up to 31 December 2016?
Reply:
(a),(b),(c)
The table link below shows the total number of Grade 1 learners registered between 1997 and 2005, the total number of learners in Grade 10 (completed Grade 9) in 2006-2014 and the total number of learners completed Grade 12 in 2008-2016, per province.
Based on the cohort of learners in Grade 1 in 1997, the table aligns the same cohort of learners in Grade 10, in 2006 and the same cohort of learners in Grade 12, in 2008.
Note:
- What should not be done though, is to divide Grade 12 passes in one year (for instance 2016) by Grade 1 enrolments twelve years previously (for instance 2004) to obtain a statistic on survival to Grade 12. One key problem with this approach is that levels of repetition in Grade 1 are high, meaning one double counts learners in the denominator.
- It must also be noted that a great number of learners also enrol in TVET colleges and that others attend AET classes after completing Grade 9 which forms part of the Higher Education and Training Sector.
- With regard to (b), Repeaters in Grade 10 were included in the statistics of number of completed Grade 9 learners.
- With regard to (c), the analysis includes only full-time Grade 12 passes in the public examination. Those figures exclude Grade 12 learners writing private examinations (in particular those of the Independent Examinations Board) and part-time learners in the public system who accumulate sufficient credits to obtain a Grade 12 pass.
Link: http://pmg-assets.s3-website-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/RNW2678TABLE.pdf
Source: SNAP 1997 -2016
Note 1: ?? Indicate non submission of dataset